Day 54 of 150 Logic Difficulty 6/10
Belief bias: believable conclusions feel logically valid
Quick answer
Belief bias: believable conclusions feel logically valid. Today's question (Belief bias) asks about a finding from Evans, J. St. B. T., Barston, J. L., & Pollard, P. in 1983. The correct option is The conclusion is believable in real-world terms — full explanation, primary source, and glossary cross-links below.
Today's question
Evans, Barston & Pollard (1983) showed that participants accept logically invalid syllogisms more often when:
Reveal the answer and explanation
Correct: B — The conclusion is believable in real-world terms
Participants judged the logical validity of syllogisms whose conclusions were either believable or unbelievable in everyday terms. Believable invalid conclusions were endorsed about twice as often as unbelievable invalid conclusions; the reverse pattern appeared for valid syllogisms with unbelievable conclusions. The result demonstrates belief bias — real-world plausibility intrudes on formal-validity judgements — and is one of the strongest pieces of evidence for dual-process accounts: System 1 retrieves a believability assessment, System 2 must override it to produce the formal answer.
About the source
Evans, J. St. B. T., Barston, J. L., & Pollard, P. (1983). On the conflict between logic and belief in syllogistic reasoning. Memory & Cognition, 11(3), 295–306.
Every Cognition Bible question cites a primary source — a paper, book chapter, or monograph that exists, that we can point to on Google Scholar, and whose finding the question accurately summarizes. No fabricated authority strings, no name-drops without paper-level grounding.
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