Day 54 of 150 Logic Difficulty 6/10

Belief bias: believable conclusions feel logically valid

Quick answer

Belief bias: believable conclusions feel logically valid. Today's question (Belief bias) asks about a finding from Evans, J. St. B. T., Barston, J. L., & Pollard, P. in 1983. The correct option is The conclusion is believable in real-world terms — full explanation, primary source, and glossary cross-links below.

Today's question

Evans, Barston & Pollard (1983) showed that participants accept logically invalid syllogisms more often when:

  1. A The conclusion is unbelievable
  2. B The conclusion is believable in real-world terms
  3. C The premises use abstract symbols
  4. D The reasoner is given more time
Reveal the answer and explanation

Correct: B — The conclusion is believable in real-world terms

Participants judged the logical validity of syllogisms whose conclusions were either believable or unbelievable in everyday terms. Believable invalid conclusions were endorsed about twice as often as unbelievable invalid conclusions; the reverse pattern appeared for valid syllogisms with unbelievable conclusions. The result demonstrates belief bias — real-world plausibility intrudes on formal-validity judgements — and is one of the strongest pieces of evidence for dual-process accounts: System 1 retrieves a believability assessment, System 2 must override it to produce the formal answer.

About the source

Evans, J. St. B. T., Barston, J. L., & Pollard, P. (1983). On the conflict between logic and belief in syllogistic reasoning. Memory & Cognition, 11(3), 295–306.

Every Cognition Bible question cites a primary source — a paper, book chapter, or monograph that exists, that we can point to on Google Scholar, and whose finding the question accurately summarizes. No fabricated authority strings, no name-drops without paper-level grounding.

More from the Cognition Bible

Done with today's question? Play the FOKIQ Daily — six puzzles across six cognitive domains, free, every day.